Bermuda vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
CUB
1 - 2
BMU
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
BMU
5 - 0
CYM
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
HND
2 - 0
BMU
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BMU
3 - 5
HND
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
DOM
6 - 1
BMU
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 1
JAM
46%
25%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
JAM
2 - 1
GLP
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
JAM
0 - 1
GTM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
JAM
3 - 0
GTM
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
VGB
0 - 1
JAM
3%
8%
89%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |