WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda. Final
Global 2-3
Benin vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
COG
2 - 1
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GNQ
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 1
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TZA
4 - 1
BEN
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
0 - 0
NGA
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
BFA
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | +1 |