Benin vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
ARE
0 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 1
BEN
97%
3%
1%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 0
BEN
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 4
CMR
7%
19%
74%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CIV
3 - 0
BEN
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 0
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 0
CIV
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |