Belgium vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1913 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1912 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1912 |
BEL
9 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1912 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1912 |
GER
2 - 3
NED
41%
22%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
NED
9 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
NED
3 - 1
AUT
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
NED
4 - 3
SWE
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |