Belgium vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
BEL
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
RUS
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
DZA
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
TUN
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 2
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
USA
0 - 1
DEU
14%
17%
69%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
PRT
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 2
USA
21%
24%
56%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
NGA
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
TUR
55%
23%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |