Austria vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
AUT
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
AUT
5 - 1
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1981 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BRD
2 - 0
AUT
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
ALB
0 - 1
AUT
18%
27%
55%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
BRD
7 - 1
FIN
90%
9%
2%
|
94 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
POL
0 - 2
BRD
33%
26%
42%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
94 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1981 |
BRD
1 - 2
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BRD
2 - 0
AUT
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |