OFC Nations Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
NZL
0 - 0
AUS
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1995 |
AUS
0 - 1
GHA
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
AUS
1 - 0
GHA
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
AUS
2 - 1
GHA
57%
26%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
NZL
0 - 0
AUS
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1995 |
URY
2 - 2
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
URY
7 - 0
NZL
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1995 |
NZL
2 - 3
PRY
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1995 |
NZL
1 - 2
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |