Australia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARG
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
3 - 0
SAU
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
0 - 1
BRA
19%
26%
55%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
TWN
0 - 3
AUS
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NZL
1 - 1
AUS
39%
25%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 1
SAU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
33%
28%
39%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
0 - 1
BRA
19%
26%
55%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRD
56%
23%
21%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1987 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHL
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |