Argentina vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1968 |
CHI
2 - 1
ARG
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1968 |
PER
2 - 2
ARG
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 2
ARG
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1968 |
POL
1 - 0
IRL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
POL
1 - 1
DDR
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1968 |
POL
3 - 6
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
NOR
1 - 6
POL
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
IRL
2 - 2
POL
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |