Argentina vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
ARG
5 - 0
CAN
78%
16%
6%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
ARG
4 - 0
HTI
80%
15%
6%
|
96 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
DEU
0 - 1
ARG
54%
23%
23%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ARG
2 - 1
JAM
78%
16%
6%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 2
CRI
71%
19%
10%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 1
PRK
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 1
COL
39%
28%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
NGA
0 - 0
SAU
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NGA
5 - 2
COD
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
DZA
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |