Argentina vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
DZA
3 - 4
ARG
9%
21%
70%
|
97 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
52%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
ARG
0 - 0
CHL
74%
18%
8%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
FRA
0 - 1
ARG
58%
23%
19%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
51%
25%
24%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
USA
9%
19%
73%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
USA
2 - 1
PAN
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 0
SLV
91%
8%
1%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TTO
0 - 2
USA
6%
17%
77%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |