Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 4
ARG
9%
17%
74%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
31%
27%
42%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
52%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 2
ECU
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |