Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
91%
7%
3%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
5 - 3
PAR
85%
9%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
ITA
2 - 0
ARG
52%
21%
27%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
5 - 0
PAR
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
5 - 4
PER
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
CHI
7 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
CHI
2 - 4
PER
44%
20%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |