Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1917 |
URY
1 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1917 |
URY
0 - 2
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1916 |
URY
3 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1917 |
URY
4 - 0
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1916 |
URY
4 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
6 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
URY
4 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |