Algeria vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALG
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1965 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALG
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1965 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
44%
22%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1965 |
ALG
4 - 1
COD
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALG
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1965 |
LBY
1 - 0
MAR
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1965 |
MAR
2 - 0
KWT
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
YUG
3 - 1
MAR
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |