Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
3 - 3
GER
15%
21%
65%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 1
BEL
82%
13%
6%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 3
GER
22%
23%
55%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
2 - 2
GER
18%
22%
60%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GER
6 - 2
AUT
82%
12%
6%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
NED
0 - 0
SUI
79%
14%
7%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 2
NED
23%
25%
52%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
NED
1 - 0
MDA
89%
9%
2%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
FIN
0 - 2
NED
14%
22%
65%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NED
11 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 38 | 60 | 0 |