Germany vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1962 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
GRC
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
NIR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 3
BRD
35%
23%
42%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 0
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
CHI
3 - 1
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 0
HUN
15%
17%
68%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
CHI
5 - 1
HUN
13%
17%
70%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |