Albania vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
NLD
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 0
MLT
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
ALB
17%
22%
62%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ISR
2 - 1
BLR
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BLR
0 - 1
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
79 | 32 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SVN
1 - 0
BLR
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BLR
1 - 3
ROU
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BLR
2 - 1
ISR
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |