Selbitz vs Ammerthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 0
SEL
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AHA
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MEM
1 - 3
SEL
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 2
HOL
75%
15%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JRE
5 - 1
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 2
ERB
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
AMM
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 2
ELT
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 0
AMM
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 1
ERL
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |