Selaya vs Barquereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARE
2 - 0
SEL
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAY
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
SEL
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 1
REV
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RIN
3 - 2
SEL
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MDP
0 - 2
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SDR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BUE
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |