SJK vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
4º
4º
45
3º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 17 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 15 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 11 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
6º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
SEI
1 - 1
KUO
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
HAK
2 - 3
SEI
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2025 |
FFJ
0 - 4
SEI
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 2
SEI
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SEI
3 - 0
KOO
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
KOO
1 - 4
HJK
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
HJK
8 - 2
IFK
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
HJK
1 - 0
OUL
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
HAK
1 - 2
HJK
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
HJK
5 - 1
ILV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |