UP Segureña vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
+361%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
BEL
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BIE
5 - 5
SEG
32%
24%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
0 - 4
CDE
12%
16%
72%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEG
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
4 - 1
VIL
60%
19%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 1
BIE
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
5 - 0
UDF
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 2
ATH
64%
18%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
UDF
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 0
ACE
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |