Segureña A vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
55.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segureña A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDZ
3 - 0
SEG
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SEG
0 - 2
EXT
38%
22%
41%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SEG
2 - 2
CAT
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SUD
4 - 0
SEG
39%
22%
40%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SEG
2 - 3
CDC
37%
22%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 0
CAM
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
UDF
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 0
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
UDF
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDF
2 - 2
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |