1. HNL Relegation Play-offs Round 8

Segesta vs HNK Sibenik analysis

Segesta HNK Sibenik
73 ELO 71
12.2% Tilt -12.3%
5933º General ELO ranking 1497º
49º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Segesta
22.4%
Draw
20%
HNK Sibenik

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Segesta
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
HNK Sibenik
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Segesta
-17%
-13%
HNK Sibenik

ELO progression

Segesta
HNK Sibenik
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Segesta
Segesta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 1996
MAR
Marsonia
0 - 3
Segesta
SEG
38%
28%
34%
71 63 8 0
21 Apr. 1996
SEG
Segesta
4 - 1
NK Istra 1961
IST
61%
22%
18%
71 69 2 0
14 Apr. 1996
SUH
Suhopolje
1 - 0
Segesta
SEG
55%
24%
20%
71 71 0 0
07 Apr. 1996
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
2 - 0
Segesta
SEG
53%
26%
21%
72 72 0 -1
31 Mar. 1996
SEG
Segesta
2 - 1
HNK Cibalia
HNK
61%
22%
17%
71 70 1 +1

Matches

HNK Sibenik
HNK Sibenik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 1996
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
59%
23%
18%
71 67 4 0
21 Apr. 1996
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
2 - 0
HNK Sibenik
HNS
51%
25%
24%
72 72 0 -1
14 Apr. 1996
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 0
HNK Cibalia
HNK
58%
24%
19%
71 70 1 +1
07 Apr. 1996
INT
Inter Zapresic
0 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
56%
23%
20%
71 74 3 0
31 Mar. 1996
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 0
Marsonia
MAR
66%
21%
14%
70 65 5 +1