Sedan II vs Douai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SED
1 - 3
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SED
1 - 1
ARR
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SED
6 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ROY
0 - 0
SED
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
REI
0 - 2
SED
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 2
DOU
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
MEZ
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
1 - 3
ROY
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 0
DOU
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 1
REI
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |