Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 4-6
FK Sabail vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 0
SEB
36%
21%
43%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SEB
1 - 4
SHA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
QAR
4 - 0
SEB
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 1
FKQ
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SUM
1 - 2
SEB
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
CSU
3 - 3
WAR
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 0
CSU
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 2
STB
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 0
SSG
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |