Sport Sébaco vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
10º
5º
46
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
UNA
3 - 2
CDS
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 1
MFC
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JAP
0 - 1
CDS
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DIR
0 - 3
CDS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
TIG
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
TIG
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
JAP
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
MFC
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |