Freising vs SV Manching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
FRE
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
ASD
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
TSE
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
FRE
28%
23%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FCG
4 - 2
FRE
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
SV Manching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SVM
0 - 2
KSC
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TSV
3 - 2
SVM
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SVM
4 - 1
FCT
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SVM
2 - 0
LAN
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 1
SVM
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |