Freising vs FC Gerolfing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ISM
3 - 0
FRE
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VFB
0 - 3
FRE
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
FRE
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
TUS
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gerolfing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FCG
3 - 0
KSC
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TSV
3 - 2
FCG
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FCG
0 - 1
SVM
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
TAM
0 - 2
FCG
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +2 |