SDEFA vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDEFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
TBF
1 - 0
SDE
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SDE
0 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PIE
0 - 0
SDE
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SDF
5 - 0
SDE
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SDE
0 - 0
TAM
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TAM
5 - 1
PAU
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAU
2 - 0
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
EXC
7 - 1
PAU
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 5
JEA
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
SDF
1 - 0
PAU
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |