SD Castelo vs Goian B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
SDC
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TEB
4 - 2
SDC
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 3
RAC
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 3
SDC
64%
17%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Goian B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 3
GOI
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 2
GUI
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 0
TEB
13%
15%
72%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
6 - 4
GOI
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 3
MOS
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |