SD Castelo vs C Guillarei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 4
TEB
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDC
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 3
MOS
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 4
SDC
35%
21%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SDC
9 - 1
COV
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
C Guillarei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
GOI
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
OLI
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 3
TEB
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 2
GUI
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 3
MOS
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |