SDC Cabreiros vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDC Cabreiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 1
CAB
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
COS
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
5 - 0
COS
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 7
CAB
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
4 - 2
LOU
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
LOU
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
VDO
3 - 1
COM
55%
22%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COM
4 - 0
FRI
49%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CLU
3 - 2
COM
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAJ
1 - 4
COM
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |