Ponferradina U19 vs Fútbol Peña U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
28
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 1
PON
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
COL
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 4
PON
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 0
PON
63%
19%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
PUE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fútbol Peña U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CHA
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BCF
0 - 1
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
UNI
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CDP
28%
23%
50%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |