SD Pol vs SCD Milagrosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 2
POL
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
OUT
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 0
POL
8%
16%
76%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 5
POL
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Milagrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 1
MIL
78%
14%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
LOU
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OUT
0 - 1
MIL
67%
20%
14%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
4 - 1
GUN
20%
22%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 0
MIL
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |