SD Pol vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 4
POL
45%
22%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
GUI
59%
20%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MEI
0 - 3
POL
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
ALF
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
POL
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
IBE
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OUR
2 - 3
CAN
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 2
ROU
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COS
2 - 0
CAN
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |