SD Pol vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
POL
17%
20%
64%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
ABA
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 2
POL
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POL
5 - 0
MAT
81%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BUR
4 - 2
POL
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
IBE
39%
24%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 3
ALF
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 3
ROU
28%
23%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
COS
5 - 1
ALF
56%
21%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
CAN
34%
25%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |