O Val vs Flavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VIV
1 - 2
OVA
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OVA
1 - 1
FOZ
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BET
1 - 1
OVA
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
OVA
3 - 1
BOI
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
OVA
34%
27%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 0
CLU
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 3
XOV
47%
25%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
MES
3 - 1
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOI
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
XOV
1 - 3
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |