Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
SD Formentera vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SDF
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 0
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 5
SDF
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SDF
3 - 0
MNU
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SRF
0 - 0
SDF
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SDF
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
YEC
0 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EGP
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |