Croatia Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ERF
2 - 1
SDC
80%
13%
6%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SDC
1 - 0
LAS
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
DRE
1 - 0
SDC
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
SDC
0 - 1
PLA
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
LOK
3 - 1
SDC
78%
16%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ERZ
3 - 0
ZWI
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
CZJ
0 - 2
ERZ
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
ERZ
1 - 1
FCU
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
MAG
1 - 0
ERZ
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ERZ
1 - 0
CHE
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |