Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 2-5
SD Compostela vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
COM
1 - 1
CDT
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
COM
2 - 1
ZAR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
RSO
4 - 1
COM
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
COM
3 - 0
OVI
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
1 - 4
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
EXT
2 - 4
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |