SD Centro Ítalo vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 4
CDS
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAR
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
ANZ
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |