Tercera RFEF XVII - Aragón Jor. 24

SD Borja vs Calamocha analysis

SD Borja Calamocha
20 ELO 32
-25.8% Tilt -17.3%
11547º General ELO ranking 8093º
661º Country ELO ranking 289º
ELO win probability
21.4%
SD Borja
25.6%
Draw
53%
Calamocha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
SD Borja
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53%
Win probability
Calamocha
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SD Borja
-27%
-15%
Calamocha

Points and table prediction

SD Borja
Their league position
Calamocha
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
18º
17º
49
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ejea
67
67
100%
CD Cuarte
65
65
100%
CD Ebro
63
63
100%
CF Epila
59
59
100%
Caspe
59
59
100%
Almudévar
55
55
100%
Atlético Monzón
51
51
100%
Calamocha
49
49
100%
Fraga
48
48
100%
Huesca B
11º
47
47
10º
0%
CD Utrillas
10º
47
47
11º
0%
CDJ Tamarite
12º
43
43
12º
100%
CD Binéfar
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Fuentes
14º
34
34
14º
100%
CD Belchite 97
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Illueca
16º
27
27
16º
100%
SD Borja
17º
22
22
17º
100%
CD Cariñena
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SD Borja
Calamocha
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

SD Borja
Calamocha
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Borja
SD Borja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
EPI
CF Epila
1 - 0
SD Borja
SDB
70%
19%
12%
21 33 12 0
25 Feb. 2024
SDB
SD Borja
1 - 1
Caspe
CAS
18%
24%
58%
21 34 13 0
21 Feb. 2024
SDB
SD Borja
1 - 1
Almudévar
CFA
14%
22%
64%
20 35 15 +1
18 Feb. 2024
BEL
CD Belchite 97
1 - 0
SD Borja
SDB
52%
24%
24%
20 23 3 0
11 Feb. 2024
SDB
SD Borja
0 - 0
Fraga
FRA
17%
21%
62%
19 27 8 +1

Matches

Calamocha
Calamocha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
HUE
Huesca B
0 - 1
Calamocha
CAL
54%
23%
23%
31 32 1 0
25 Feb. 2024
CAL
Calamocha
0 - 1
CF Epila
EPI
41%
26%
33%
32 32 0 -1
18 Feb. 2024
CAS
Caspe
2 - 1
Calamocha
CAL
46%
26%
29%
33 32 1 -1
11 Feb. 2024
CAL
Calamocha
0 - 0
CD Belchite 97
BEL
64%
21%
15%
32 22 10 +1
04 Feb. 2024
FRA
Fraga
1 - 0
Calamocha
CAL
33%
26%
41%
33 26 7 -1
X