SD Basurto vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Basurto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ZET
2 - 1
SDB
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SDB
1 - 1
BFC
18%
22%
60%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BER
1 - 2
SDB
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SDB
1 - 1
APU
38%
24%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
DER
2 - 1
SDS
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CLU
3 - 1
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
RET
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DEU
1 - 1
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
APU
1 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |