Aucas U20 vs Defensor Sporting U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
SDA
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SDA
3 - 1
SPT
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPT
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 1
FLA
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HUA
0 - 3
DEF
51%
24%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 2
PAL
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
CAB
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |