Atl. Nacional vs Deportivo San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
SUN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TIE
0 - 2
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MSM
3 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
5 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 1
MSM
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
TIE
1 - 2
MSM
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MSM
3 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |