Amanecer vs Erizana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
MOA
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDE
0 - 1
AMA
25%
23%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
AMA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ERI
3 - 0
CAN
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NIG
1 - 5
ERI
8%
14%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
ERI
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERI
5 - 1
CAM
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RAP
1 - 5
ERI
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |