FA Cup 1/1024
Global 6-1
Scunthorpe United vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
SCU
7%
15%
78%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCU
1 - 1
WAR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 1
SCU
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 0
KID
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 2
SCU
34%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
SCU
7%
15%
78%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SUT
3 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
LON
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 0
WES
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
NEW
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |