Schwechat vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 0
SCH
41%
28%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
SKN
2 - 3
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 4
SVR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
OBE
2 - 3
SCH
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
SCH
0 - 3
EIS
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 3
KRE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NEU
4 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 0
VIE
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
SKN
6 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |