Schwaz vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TEL
0 - 2
SCH
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
STJ
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SKH
1 - 2
SCH
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 4
HAL
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SVI
3 - 2
SCH
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
IMS
3 - 3
KIR
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
KIR
5 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 3
KIR
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KIR
7 - 0
SKH
75%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 0
KIR
72%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |